Original Research
Mediumtermynvooruitskatting deur die ontleding en sintese van periodisiteit
South African Journal of Business Management | Vol 12, No 1/2 | a1204 |
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4102/sajbm.v12i1/2.1204
| © 2018 R. Reinecke
| This work is licensed under CC Attribution 4.0
Submitted: 25 October 2018 | Published: 31 March 1981
Submitted: 25 October 2018 | Published: 31 March 1981
About the author(s)
R. Reinecke, Departement Bedryfsingenieurswese, Universiteit van Stellenbosch, Stellenbosch, South AfricaFull Text:
PDF (243KB)Abstract
The programme suit TEMPOS is an aid to medium-term forecasting of national major economic time series. It is based on the assumption that the well-known recurrent, but non-periodic business cycles can be represented by simple but strictly periodic cyclic movements, each driven by a separate but not necessarily known external economic factor. As the elements of such a model are individually extrapolatable, the model as a whole may be extrapolated over a limited horizon.
Die suite rekenaarprogramme TEMPOS is 'n hulpmiddel vir vooruitskatting in die mediumtermyn van nasionale omvang ekonomiese tydreekse. As uitgangspunt geld die aanname dat die bekende herhalende maar nie-periodieke konjunktuurgolwe voorgestel kan word deur eenvoudiger maar streng periodieke golwe, elk gedrewe deur eiesoortige eksterne ekonomiese faktore.
Die suite rekenaarprogramme TEMPOS is 'n hulpmiddel vir vooruitskatting in die mediumtermyn van nasionale omvang ekonomiese tydreekse. As uitgangspunt geld die aanname dat die bekende herhalende maar nie-periodieke konjunktuurgolwe voorgestel kan word deur eenvoudiger maar streng periodieke golwe, elk gedrewe deur eiesoortige eksterne ekonomiese faktore.
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